China and India: Prospects for Peace (Contemporary Asia in the World) Review

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China and India: Prospects for Peace (Contemporary Asia in the World) ReviewIn the last six decades China and India fell into war once (1962), and tottered on the edge five other times. No serious progress has been made on their underlying border dispute. The author believes that the two will not grow without additional conflict with each other, though hopefully it will not be military.
Half their labor forces (about 660,000) has to survive on what their owned/assigned farmland yields. Five decades ago both were reclusive, had comparable-sized economies ($239 billion for China in 1947, vs. $222 billion for India), and the world's two largest populations (536 million in China, 346 million in India). The lack of any strong personality available to fill the post-Mao leadership void left the CCP to focus instead on economic development to legitimize CCP leadership and provided an outlet for nationalism via economic development. Commercialization's increasing importance in China brought decentralization of economic authority to the provinces. The 1995 official visit of Taiwan's president to the U.S. led to belligerent proposals from China's military and Jiang's need to 'prove' his leadership via military exercises and missile salvos near Taiwan.
Natural labor force growth obliges China to create 55 million more jobs between 2010-2020, while India must add 316 million by 2045. About 54% of China's industrial output in 2007 was exported (and employed 75% of those in industry), compared to India's 28%.
The author sees continued growth in both nations creating competition in autos, agriculture, software, energy resources. Growing commercial ties will also pull states like Nepal out of India's sphere of influence; India's nuclear deal with the U.S. is viewed suspiciously in China, as is China's relationship with Pakistan viewed by Indians.China and India: Prospects for Peace (Contemporary Asia in the World) Overview

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